Wednesday, July 23, 2025

Over the long haul, S&P 500 returns have been impressive


Today the S&P 500 set yet another all-time high of 6,359. 

As the chart below shows, since 1950 the S&P 500 index has increased by slightly more than 8% per year, from 16.79 to 6359. Add reinvested dividends to this and you get a total return of 11.6% per year, according to Bloomberg. If this price performance continues, and given that the current dividend yield on this index is only 1.2% a year, one could expect an investment in the S&P 500 to produce an annualized total return of almost 9.5% per year going forward. Subject, of course, to violent swings along the way, as the chart makes clear.
 

Since 1950, the Consumer Price Index has increased by about 3.5% annualized. This means that the total, inflation-adjusted return of the S&P 500 has been 7.8% annualized over the past 75+ years.

Food for thought!

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