Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Treasury yields are heading skyward, as the bond market begins to realize that a) the economy is improving, b) monetary policy is incredibly expansionary, and c) fiscal policy is creating massive financing needs. This is a perfect storm for the Treasury market, and it could send yields far higher in short order. These forces can easily overwhelm any Fed purchases of Treasuries, and the Fed is foolish if it thinks it can stop yields from rising, as I noted in a prior post.
The silver lining to this thunderstorm cloud is that it may cause our politicians to rethink their plans to spend money like a drunken sailor. It would be great if Obama came to have the same respect for the bond market as Bill Clinton did.
Posted by Scott Grannis at 10:56 AM