tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post6439251084893465516..comments2024-03-28T00:18:25.641-07:00Comments on Calafia Beach Pundit: Unemployment claims updateScott Grannishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-67744042084109826782009-11-17T12:27:30.705-08:002009-11-17T12:27:30.705-08:00I've mentioned several times that the unemploy...I've mentioned several times that the unemployment rate is a lagging indicator and that it doesn't usually peak until well after a recession ends. 14-16 months sounds reasonable. I've also said I don't think we'll have any meaningful decline in the unemployment rate until Q3/10 at the earliest.Scott Grannishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-13739502611763106302009-11-17T12:12:14.943-08:002009-11-17T12:12:14.943-08:00Did you post a chart in the last couple of weeks t...Did you post a chart in the last couple of weeks that showed the number of months it takes after a recession ends before umemployment drops? I can't recall where I saw it but I remember it being around 14-16 months afterwards. Any thoughts?robert mayeshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16596367340915940892noreply@blogger.com