tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post5942544279985353728..comments2024-03-28T00:18:25.641-07:00Comments on Calafia Beach Pundit: Claims continue to declineScott Grannishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comBlogger16125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-20171912012763388542013-07-24T01:35:57.670-07:002013-07-24T01:35:57.670-07:00You wrote, The market was initially spooked by the...You wrote, The market was initially spooked by the prospect of a QE unwinding, but now has put those fears to rest. <br /><br />I've been reading John The Revelator, specifically Revelation 13:1-4. And I've been reading Witness Lee on the Economy of God, specifically Ephesians 1:10, and my fears of a soon coming Financial Apocalypse have been heightened <br /><br />The days of risk on theyenguyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08515095308836729043noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-76424583172263002572013-07-23T11:09:59.662-07:002013-07-23T11:09:59.662-07:00Dr. Ed Yardini, July 22:
"In his prepared te...Dr. <b>Ed Yardini</b>, July 22:<br /><br />"In his prepared testimony, <b>Bernanke said that “if a substantial part of the reductions in measured unemployment were judged to reflect cyclical declines in labor force participation rather than gains in employment, the Committee would be unlikely to view a decline in unemployment to 6-1/2 percent as a sufficient reason to raise its target for Williamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04418491109912775561noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-35800636227850084542013-07-22T09:29:18.387-07:002013-07-22T09:29:18.387-07:00"My faith in the American resurgence is undim..."My faith in the American resurgence is undiminished, but when almost $20,000,000,000 flows into stocks in a single week in one country, it’s probably time to sneak out back for a smoke."<br />-Garth TurnerUnknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12616454339935658018noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-81253241585164680702013-07-19T18:41:54.156-07:002013-07-19T18:41:54.156-07:00Hello, Scott -
You are correct. In the fall of 20...Hello, Scott -<br /><br />You are correct. In the fall of 2011, ECRI said that a recession {to be determined in retrospect by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)} would begin no later than mid-year 2012 but that most economists wouldn't recognize the recession until the end of 2012.Williamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04418491109912775561noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-14018281659251367172013-07-19T16:46:05.800-07:002013-07-19T16:46:05.800-07:00Re ECRI. Hasn't it been almost two years since...Re ECRI. Hasn't it been almost two years since they said a recession was imminent?Scott Grannishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-60447830287645581722013-07-19T13:37:20.646-07:002013-07-19T13:37:20.646-07:00LIPPER FUND FLOW REPORT
Weekly 07/17/2013
Equit...<b>LIPPER FUND FLOW REPORT</b><br /><br /><b>Weekly 07/17/2013</b> <br /><br />Equity Fund Inflows $16.6 Bil;<br /><br />Taxable Bond Fund Inflows $3.8 Bil.<br /><br />xETFs - Equity Fund Inflows $3.7 Bil;<br /><br />Taxable Bond Fund Inflows $3.4 Bil.Williamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04418491109912775561noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-38409812681407193282013-07-19T13:30:57.345-07:002013-07-19T13:30:57.345-07:00ECRI Weekly Leading Index (WLI)Rises
A measure of...<b>ECRI Weekly Leading Index (WLI)Rises</b><br /><br /><b>A measure of future U.S. economic growth strengthened in the latest week to its highest in more than two years</b>, while the annualized growth rate also edged higher.<br /><br />The Economic Cycle Research Institute said its Weekly Leading Index rose to 131.2 in the week ended July 12 from a revised 130.1 the prior week.<br /> <br />The Williamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04418491109912775561noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-9612710307050554902013-07-19T07:54:19.493-07:002013-07-19T07:54:19.493-07:00Note that when referring to the relatively large a...Note that when referring to the relatively large amount of cash that is currently being held (e.g., bank savings accounts, as reflected in the historically high ratio of M2 to nominal GDP) I always refer to "attempts" by the public to reduce their cash holdings. Obviously cash cannot just disappear (although currency can be returned to the Fed in exchange for bank deposits). But "Scott Grannishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-69795267221546953062013-07-19T07:20:08.510-07:002013-07-19T07:20:08.510-07:00Scott: I think you would do yourself a favor if yo...Scott: I think you would do yourself a favor if you gave up that Wall-Street-mantra of "cash on the sidelines". I have tried to explain this to you several times, so here it is one more time:<br />If I feel I have too much cash, and I want to be in the stock market, I need a seller. Now that seller has the cash. <br />When I buy stocks, the cash does not disappear. <br />Somebody alwaysGloeschihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10705125909506053628noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-20545262168360304802013-07-19T05:48:22.111-07:002013-07-19T05:48:22.111-07:00PS: Only 1% of Americans are financially independe...PS: Only 1% of Americans are financially independent -- that's reality -- always has been -- always will be...McKibbinUSAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10545798495680527622noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-87864542266918744252013-07-19T05:45:44.834-07:002013-07-19T05:45:44.834-07:00@Benjamin, only Federalism is "recovering&quo...@Benjamin, only Federalism is "recovering" today, including the military-industrial complex, the medical establishment, Wall Street, and Federal workers -- the rest of the nation is mired in economic depression as evidenced by persistent long-term declines in real working wages, real home values, and the employment to population ratio -- we need to all accept that only the industries McKibbinUSAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10545798495680527622noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-68839797528721771422013-07-19T05:44:05.967-07:002013-07-19T05:44:05.967-07:00This comment has been removed by the author.McKibbinUSAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10545798495680527622noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-14908862036141019002013-07-19T03:53:03.129-07:002013-07-19T03:53:03.129-07:00Slow improvement, too slow.
A reasonable concern:...Slow improvement, too slow.<br /><br />A reasonable concern: Recoveries do not last forever. What if enter the next recession, and we still are in slo-go, super-low inflation land?<br /><br />We will slip into deflation and recession. Call it "decession."<br /><br />Benjamin Colehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14001038338873263877noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-88190382569323833982013-07-18T16:04:29.340-07:002013-07-18T16:04:29.340-07:00Hi Scott,
I really like the analysis, data, and ...Hi Scott, <br /><br />I really like the analysis, data, and perspective you offer. Do you allow any republication of your work on other sites (with full attribution of course)? If so, I would love to know whether we could do so on Financial Sense. If you would like to discuss this more, please contact me at cris@puplava.com or at work 858.487.3939. We're actually just down the coast from you Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13510265551427056464noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-10884408303512156842013-07-18T11:23:56.807-07:002013-07-18T11:23:56.807-07:00Declining unemployment claims is probably best acc...Declining unemployment claims is probably best accounted for by the spike in suicides in America -- the two measures are strongly correlated at this point -- more at:<br /><br />http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/political-animal-a/2013_05/the_suicide_rate_continues_to044561.phpMcKibbinUSAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10545798495680527622noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-72854023365136050382013-07-18T11:20:36.826-07:002013-07-18T11:20:36.826-07:00This comment has been removed by the author.McKibbinUSAhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10545798495680527622noreply@blogger.com