tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post8249185950103436034..comments2024-03-28T00:18:25.641-07:00Comments on Calafia Beach Pundit: Unemployment claims still support a recoveryScott Grannishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-67824489448641363482009-12-11T00:35:56.126-08:002009-12-11T00:35:56.126-08:00"In fact, if the recent pace of improvement c..."In fact, if the recent pace of improvement continues," continuing claims will equal people on Emergency Unemployment Compensation program in 1 or 2 months (currently at 4179k and accelerating).<br /><br />Do not look at unemployment rate. It is relevant only for FED excel models!Игры рынкаhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12001273098690387194noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-3044686740527418112009-12-10T11:06:21.311-08:002009-12-10T11:06:21.311-08:00NSA jobless claims were supposed to shoot up this ...NSA jobless claims were supposed to shoot up this week. That is why they used a 1.402 adjustment factor.....next weeks factor is 1.157.broderohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12296214283216386700noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-71334016340870349582009-12-10T10:06:13.607-08:002009-12-10T10:06:13.607-08:00Re Krugman: He's not telling us anything we do...Re Krugman: He's not telling us anything we don't already know. We had a deep recession, so the recovery will need to be huge to just get the economy back on its trend growth track. Most people expect the recovery will be less than huge, and the main reason is all the government intervention and wasteful spending and higher tax burdens that are awaiting us. In the meantime, though, the Scott Grannishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-32067186124996411352009-12-10T10:01:52.904-08:002009-12-10T10:01:52.904-08:00Bill: I have no reason to think the seasonal adjus...Bill: I have no reason to think the seasonal adjustments are faulty, so no, I don't think this info tells us anything.Scott Grannishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-55525485426622058912009-12-10T09:45:34.869-08:002009-12-10T09:45:34.869-08:00Scott,
It is amazing how much deterioration we ha...Scott,<br /><br />It is amazing how much deterioration we have had under Obama's misguided policies.<br /><br />Unemployment in Architecture right now is at 66%.....I couldn't believe it when my buddy told me.<br /><br />New home construction is down 80% from peak....can you imagine how many unemployed construction workers are out there?<br /><br /><br />New Car Sales, discounting the alstryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16025398896639165994noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-37774373409812352672009-12-10T09:32:52.503-08:002009-12-10T09:32:52.503-08:00OK, it's fantastic try to see always "la ...OK, it's fantastic try to see always "la vie en rose"...but.... <br /><br />from Paul Krugman<br /> December 10, 2009, 11:07 am<br />The jobs deficit<br /><br />It was truly amazing the way last week’s employment report was hailed by many people as a sign that our troubles are over. Here we are, having suffered huge job losses, and needing to make up the lost ground — and a report Stefano Bassihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10312848279024469425noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-47588990943271560972009-12-10T09:28:30.991-08:002009-12-10T09:28:30.991-08:00Scott,
I noticed that the NSA number shot up by 2...Scott,<br /><br />I noticed that the NSA number shot up by 200,000 claims to 600,000. Is that significant in terms of predicting a future trend?Billhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06910619601367464068noreply@blogger.com