tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post7401330567389724910..comments2024-03-28T00:18:25.641-07:00Comments on Calafia Beach Pundit: Trump shouldn't tax US consumers to build the wallScott Grannishttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comBlogger18125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-60006534406696943332017-01-30T18:22:44.951-08:002017-01-30T18:22:44.951-08:00"CO2 is pollution!"
Carbon dioxide is ... <br /><br /><br />"CO2 is pollution!"<br /><br /><br />Carbon dioxide is a product of oxidation reduction and is what plant matter uses to produce energy through photosynthesis. The last thing C02 is, is a pollutant. <br /><br />In the history of the planet earth, life has been much more abundant when C02 levels have been high. The last thing CO2 is, is a polutant.<br /><br />ClimateBobhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18190525712352815677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-88865472253769926582017-01-29T23:04:13.975-08:002017-01-29T23:04:13.975-08:00http://ngdp-advisers.com/2017/01/28/real-estate-ch...http://ngdp-advisers.com/2017/01/28/real-estate-challenge-market-monetarists-orthodox-macroeconomists/<br /><br />The above post references a very interesting NY Fed study on nations that run trade deficits and what happens to real estate price thereafter. I think the Fed misses the whole property zoning angle, and I add it in. <br /><br />Property zoning is becoming an increasingly important Benjamin Colehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14001038338873263877noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-12605590506515193102017-01-29T06:26:30.804-08:002017-01-29T06:26:30.804-08:00one wonders if the " decent " internatio...one wonders if the " decent " international trade students predicted the<br /> loss of 70000 factories and incomes to emerging countries <br /><br />tarriffs are not a zero sum game <br /><br />are the 160 countries currently using tarriffs participating in " free trade " ? <br /><br />what happens if the emerging country is dumping eg steel to achieve <br /> full Beau Duncanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04181039045275426395noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-50889616004681765922017-01-28T15:33:09.360-08:002017-01-28T15:33:09.360-08:00Obama executive actions - Dictatorship !!! Trump e...Obama executive actions - Dictatorship !!! Trump executive actions - Brilliant !!! Obama infrastructure spending - waste !!! Trump infrastructure spending - Guess we need it. <br /><br />Its going to be very interesting over the next four years to see Trump supporters twist themselves into a pretzel in order to justify their support for this conman. Its amazing what the prospect of lower taxes amritsarihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03968805404670583901noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-83180240105985225722017-01-28T14:01:18.871-08:002017-01-28T14:01:18.871-08:00Trump may be the first President who does what he ...Trump may be the first President who does what he said he would do before the election ... and then his supporters wished he had been a pre-election liar / exaggerator like all the "real politicians" !<br /><br />It does not appear easy to change Trump's mind.<br /><br />Such as his beliefs about Obama's birth certificate (considering it never mattered where Obama was born, he The Cliff Claven of Financehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13541954550199246606noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-65490530245190699982017-01-28T14:00:05.193-08:002017-01-28T14:00:05.193-08:00Trump may be the first President who does what he ...Trump may be the first President who does what he said he would do before the election ... and then his supporters wished he had been a pre-election liar / exaggerator like all the "real politicians" !<br /><br />It does not appear easy to change Trump's mind.<br /><br />Such as his beliefs about Obama's birth certificate (considering it never mattered where Obama was born, he The Cliff Claven of Financehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13541954550199246606noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-13277779521824591732017-01-28T11:46:55.399-08:002017-01-28T11:46:55.399-08:00Matthew: You have neglected to account for inflati...Matthew: You have neglected to account for inflation. If you assume inflation will be 2% per year and the economy will grow 4%, then nominal GDP ($18.86 T as of Q4/16) will grow by 6% and it will be $21.19 T in two years. If total debt (now about $14.4 T) grows by $0.6 T each year, then the debt/GDP ratio will fall from just over 76% currently to about 73%.<br /><br />The key, obviously, is for Scott Grannishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-12756802715402944532017-01-28T06:38:48.389-08:002017-01-28T06:38:48.389-08:00Scott: Thank you for your response but it didn'...Scott: Thank you for your response but it didn't really get to the heart of my question.<br /><br />Let's use public debt as you suggest. Public debt of 14.3T against '16 GDP of 18.4T yields a ratio of 78% (about in line with your numbers). Let us assume the GDP grows at 4% in 2017 and another 4% in 2018. (Note these growth assumptions are significantly higher than consensus.) LetGrechsterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08898953158865778397noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-85377565272414927142017-01-27T19:22:33.913-08:002017-01-27T19:22:33.913-08:00Scott,
regarding Trump and trade:
Besides the fact...Scott,<br />regarding Trump and trade:<br />Besides the fact, that this man is a pure genius in discovering talents (in his company he always recognized capabilities, which people themselfes had no clue about), it is also said, that he is a master in negotiations.<br /><br />This man is so good, that almost every early conclusion is false, because behind his first step, he has planned already twoAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-48708485230268224132017-01-27T13:25:32.097-08:002017-01-27T13:25:32.097-08:00Scott, I fail to see why you think DT is bluffing ...Scott, I fail to see why you think DT is bluffing on trade. Sure as HELL ain't bluffing anywhere else. I think what you see is what you get with DT and I cannot believe you truly think that a "pro-growth" agenda sans free trade will play out well.stevehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07387986994469835875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-27389606385993235852017-01-27T10:40:50.139-08:002017-01-27T10:40:50.139-08:00Re Trump and abortion: he hasn't made abortion...Re Trump and abortion: he hasn't made abortion illegal, and it's highly unlikely he would. All he has done is to cut back the degree to which the government funds abortion. I don't see a problem with that.<br /><br />Both parties have problems with freedom of speech. The left won't tolerate anyone who doesn't toe the party line on global warming, for example. Universities, theScott Grannishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-6798446564767370282017-01-27T10:34:05.877-08:002017-01-27T10:34:05.877-08:00Matthew: the current debt/GDP ratio is about 76%. ...Matthew: the current debt/GDP ratio is about 76%. The 105% you reference is an overstatement of the debt burden because it adds debt the government owes itself (about $5 trillion) to the debt the government owes the public ($14. trillion). The proper measure is the latter. This is the biggest debt burden we've had since the 1940s (coming off WW II). It dropped rapidly after WW II because the Scott Grannishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14028519647946868684noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-88864173107768122932017-01-27T09:36:15.080-08:002017-01-27T09:36:15.080-08:00Scott: A question for you (that's slightly off...Scott: A question for you (that's slightly off topic):<br /><br />How does the debt/GDP level of roughly 105% factor into your thinking? That is, even supposing Trump can get through some meaningful pro-growth policies (which I assume he can) is it correct to think this could be anything like what Reagan brought about in the early 80s? I ask because Reagan took office with a 27% debt/GDP. Grechsterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08898953158865778397noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-54416122907241677212017-01-27T09:21:54.365-08:002017-01-27T09:21:54.365-08:00You are wrong to say that Trump hasn't " ...You are wrong to say that Trump hasn't " trample(d) civil rights and denigrate(d) women", it has already started with freedom of speech and abortion.Danhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05572321242968104655noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-30049308950407010262017-01-27T05:13:05.004-08:002017-01-27T05:13:05.004-08:00Isn't this sort of thing the likely outcome? ...Isn't this sort of thing the likely outcome? Lot's of action - some coincidentally aligned with one's ideals, and some potentially catastrophic? Trade war or worse with China seems highly possible. randyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16368254229927808998noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-44878893446639421362017-01-27T05:02:43.113-08:002017-01-27T05:02:43.113-08:00Historic times indeed. Scott is spot on-and I have...Historic times indeed. Scott is spot on-and I have been saying this as nauseam. Yes, DT has done some good things and has some great ideas BUT his trade policy will undoubtedly overwhelm any good he does and result in recession-or worse. And who will be blamed? Those meany republicans! When in fact DT is about as "republican" as Hillary! Disaster waiting to happen. And I suspect we'stevehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07387986994469835875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-31519267211780842072017-01-27T03:42:38.527-08:002017-01-27T03:42:38.527-08:00Scott, wealth is not created by consuming, but by ...Scott, wealth is not created by consuming, but by jobs, work and saving.<br />Trump is such an incredibly successful businessman, a genius in detecting talents, a man with such a big heart, I'd urge you to be open minded.<br />Everything has been poisioned by the false propaganda of the globalists, that free trade was good - while the Western middle class was INTENTIONALLY DESTROYED and Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6616959642391988608.post-46222898723993348252017-01-26T15:25:13.194-08:002017-01-26T15:25:13.194-08:00I can't believe anybody is supporting this guy...I can't believe anybody is supporting this guy, he is clearly a mental case. At the rate things are going, even the Scott Grannis's of the world will soon begin to wonder if Hillary might not have been the better choice after all. The guy cares about himself and nothing else. Ask his biographers:<br />http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/01/John Ahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10670015527620779417noreply@blogger.com